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Interest Rates Rise

At its meeting on 1 December 2009, the Board decided to raise the cash rate by 25 basis points to 3.75 per cent, effective 2 December 2009. A summary of the highlights of the statement by Glenn Stevens is as follows: ·         The global economy has resumed growth.  With economic policies remaining expansionary, growth is likely to continue next year, though it will probably be modest in the major countries, due to the continuing legacy of the financial crisis. ·         In Australia, the downturn was relatively mild, and measures of confidence and business conditions suggest that the economy is in a gradual recovery. The effects of the early stages of the fiscal stimulus on consumer demand are fading, but public infrastructure spending is starting to provide more impetus to demand. ·         Inflation has declined from its peak last year, helped by the fall in commodity prices at the end of 2008 and a noticeable slowing in private-sector labour costs during 2009. In underlying terms, inflation should continue to moderate in the near term·         Credit for housing is expanding at a solid pace, and dwelling prices have risen significantly this year.·         Business credit has fallen, as companies have reduced leverage in an environment of tighter lending standards, and as some lenders have scaled back their balance sheets. ·         The Board’s assessment of the outlook remains much as in the November Statement on Monetary Policy. Growth in 2010 is likely to be close to trend and inflation close to target.·         With the risk of serious economic contraction in Australia having passed, the Board has moved at recent meetings to lessen gradually the degree of monetary stimulus that was put in place when the outlook appeared to be much weaker.  These material adjustments to the stance of monetary policy will, in the Board’s view, work to increase the sustainability of growth in economic activity and keep inflation consistent with the target over the years ahead. A link to the full commentary can be found at:http://www.rba.gov.au/MediaReleases/2009/mr-09-28.html

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